← Beginner's Luck HVN Season Store Championship

Wind Astra ClericTier 1

at Beginner's Luck HVN Season Store Championship

decks
6 (21.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18 10-4-4
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.8% avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
58.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1443 · median 1394 · range 1367–1633 (6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1182 Q1 1284 Q3 1408 1633
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 28.6% 5 2-0-3 70.0% 61.1% 57.5% +4.3
Fire Aggro 7.1% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 49.5% -0.4
Fire Luxem Assassin 7.1% 0
Fire Suzaku 7.1% 0
Water Genbu 7.1% 3 2-0-1 83.3% 64.3% 54.9% +3.7
Wind Seiryuu 7.1% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 39.6% -7.7
Wind Shadowstrike 7.1% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 47.1% -2.2
Wind Allies 3.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.9% +11.1
Wind Luxem Zander 3.6% 0
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 3 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Harvest Herbs, Scry the Skies, Zephyr. Losers more often ran: Mnemonic Charm, Nullifying Lantern, Fertile Grounds.

Played more by winners
Harvest Herbs
Winning decks ran 2.3 copies on average, losing decks 2.0.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Scry the Skies
Winning decks ran 2.3 copies on average, losing decks 2.3.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Zephyr
Winning decks ran 1.3 copies on average, losing decks 0.7.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Played more by losers
Mnemonic Charm
Losing decks ran 2.3 copies on average, winning decks 2.3.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Nullifying Lantern
Losing decks ran 0.7 copies on average, winning decks 0.3.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Fertile Grounds
Losing decks ran 2.0 copies on average, winning decks 2.0.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Nascent Barrier
Losing decks ran 1.7 copies on average, winning decks 1.7.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Indolent Leisure
Losing decks ran 3.7 copies on average, winning decks 2.3.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Show all 32 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 24 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Ravaging Tempest +0.67 2 0 1
Mnemonic Charm -0.33 1 2 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +0.33 1 0 0
Astral Seal +0.33 1 0 2
Fragmented Spirit of Wind +0.33 1 0 0
Beseech the Winds +0.33 1 0 2
Backup Charger -0.33 0 1 2
Nullifying Lantern -0.33 1 2 0
Harvest Herbs +0.33 2 1 0
Scry the Skies +0.33 2 1 0
Morgan, Soul Guide +0.33 1 0 0
Fertile Grounds -0.33 1 2 0
Zephyr +0.33 2 1 0
Nascent Barrier -0.33 1 2 0
Indolent Leisure -0.33 1 2 0
Chibi, Battle of Red Cliffs +0.33 1 0 0
Spirit of Serene Wind -0.33 0 1 1
Quicksilver Grail -0.33 0 1 0
Disenchant -0.33 0 1 0
Spirit of Wind +0.00 1 1 0
Stifling Trap +0.00 1 1 0
Spellshield: Astra +0.00 1 1 1
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +0.00 1 1 0
Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar +0.00 1 1 0
Scry the Stars +0.00 1 1 0
Regenerate +0.00 1 1 1
Prima Materia +0.00 1 1 0
Potion of Healing +0.00 1 1 0
Scatter Essence +0.00 1 1 1
Horticounter +0.00 1 1 1
Ensnaring Fumes +0.00 1 1 0
Meteor Strike +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/22765/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric